The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

An inverted yield curve, as its name suggests, occurs when shorter-term yields are higher than those of longer-term Treasurys, flipping the usual or “healthy” spread between short- and long-term ...

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Analysts and investors began to brace for a souring economic environment as the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of a 3 ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about investment strategies to build generational wealth. A quietly steepening European yield curve signals opportunity ...

SANTA ANA, Calif. — Consumers and corporate chieftains alike should check an economic flare the bond market sent up on Tuesday. Traders on Tuesday demanded higher yields on U.S. Treasury bonds ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...